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ΪʲôҪʵ̼֡塢̼к͡

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ʱ䣺2021-10-31 15:04:06

ΪʲôҪʵ̼֡塢̼к͡


о

Զ̼(CO2)ŷɵȫ򾭼ƻĹΪṩΪҪIJοϢ̼ɱ(SCC)ͨĶ̼ŷͨıӰδľóɹƻġ֮ǰĹɱůԴ֧ӿܻSCCڿռֲڵģͣܶοûнϵ

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ĵĽһȫݡѧѧļܹԹȫֲƻֵעǣԤƣȫůȴ˾õӣҪӹؼĻʩ滮ȻҵĹůȫΧڵһĹƣ2099ȫƽر¶ÿ1϶ȣȫõԼ4.5(ռǰȫ7%)ȼϵֱÿ1϶ȣ½Լ11.3(ռǰȫ7%)ĶԾ洢ķ֮ǰоìܣΪȫݱ 21 ͵Ĵ󲿷ʱ˿Խdzƶ޷ԴӦԱůҪǣƶ˿ڸȨأƻƻнϴIJͬ

ͼĽ

ͼ1|Ƶ¶ȶԴĵӰӰ졣

Ҫ㣺

ݾ飬ķ˾˿նԴζ¶ӦĹؼء-¶Ӧͼ1a) U Σ¶߶ӣȫֲĵ7ʮλߣ˾ 11,258 Ԫ2019 깺ƽ (PPP)ȼ-¶Ӧڵʮλ˾ 2,849 Ԫ2019 깺ƽۣг L Σŵ¶ӣʹȼϣȻʯͺúȣЩͬķӦܷӳʹõȴͼȵԴ÷ʽ

ǰо¼˶ʮλƵUε-¶ӦĵݱӦ޷ƹ㵽ˮƽҲ޷֤ȼ-¶ӦΪռλǺ伾ڵݣͼ1b )Щ֤˾÷չӰȫ۾÷ΧڵԴ-¶Ӧ

ƾоͳγͬӰ-¶ӦӶͬʱǾ÷չӰ죨ͼ1cĵķֱˮƽΪǻȺͺʱڸıԴĵķʽӦǵij

ͼ2|Ԥ仯21ԴѵӰ졣

Ҫ㣺

ڸŷ£ԤƵĩ仯˾õҼȼϵ(ͼ2a)

Ԥ緶Χȼϵ½Щȼڸ㷺뷶Χȡůһ¡Ҫ˽ЩӰĹģԽ뵱ǰԴˮƽбȽϣͼ2bڵ฻ԣңԤƱĩӰڵǰѶº͵ģ֮£ƶ/˿Ĺң仯ĶԤڵǰѶ൱ɹۡھȵĸºͷdz͵ĵǰԴʹˮƽġ

ͼ3|仯ԴĵӰľóɱ

Ҫ㣺

ԤƱĩıů󲿷ֵľԴ֧½ȴȴеľӡȡӡǺīIJֵͼ3a֮ԳģʽΪĿǰĵҵĩܻḻԣںȼϣֲȵĵˣǴӱůнʡԴΪȼϳɱ

ۺȫɱԤƵĩ仯ʶȵľʡֱʡ 0.17%RCP 8.5 0.08%RCP 4.5 GDP2099 ꣩ͼ3b

ͼ4|̼ȫԴеɱ

Ҫ㣺

ڶ̼ڴڴУҿѧԺ2300ǰSCCֵΪˣĽľƵ˺޷Ӧ(FIRE)ģʽϣԤ⵽2300ꦤGMSTȫ¶ȶԱ߼1GtCĶ̼ŷŵӦֲŷŵĶ̼ԵŶ˴ж̼Ũȵδ켣ܵж̼ںȦдͷŵİ˥ڵӰ(ͼ4ab)ᵼδĦGMSTƫ龰δһľƻ(ͼ4Cd)

֤DSCIMнȫݡѧϸģͺִԴ֧IJSCCĿԡ֮ǰĹȣʵʩַ󽵵˲SCCԴ֧Ⲣһйҵľòšֻעԣݿܻᵼ¶ijЩ仯ƻ(Դ֧)Ĺƣͬ޵ݽѱ֤Ŀǰص͹(ཡ)ƻɲͬòŵಿSCCɵSCCȷȫůȫȫɱĵķչпӰĽ(ʡũҵͶ)ӶṩSCCľԱ


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